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Lanon Wee

Impacts of Prolonged High Interest Rates After a Decade and a Half of Low Rates on the U.S. Economy

. The Federal Reserve has maintained its reference lending rate close to the floor of what economists refer to as “the effective lower bound” for most of the past decade and one-half. Reduced rates of interest may, in some instances, alter the normal principles of individual money matters and corporate finance, adjusting how investors evaluate risk. Currently, the Federal Reserve is accelerating its pace of increasing interest rates more quickly than ever before, preparing the country's economic climate to be unlike anything seen in modern times. The United States has entered a new economic era as the Federal Reserve has raised its benchmark interest rate. In July 2023, the federal funds effective rate surpassed 5% for the first time in four decades. As interest rates climb, economists predict economic conditions to reach more normal levels.Roger Ferguson, a former vice chair at the Federal Reserve, commented, "Having interest rates at zero for such a long period of time is very unusual. Frankly, no one ever thought we'd get to that place." During the back-to-back financial crises, past Fed policymakers were encouraged to take interest rates as low as they could go and keep them there for lengthy periods. This impacted personal finance and business in America by decreasing profits from secure investments, such as government bonds, Treasury securities, and savings accounts, while simultaneously raising the value of stocks, homes and Wall Street firms that rely on debt.Consequently, as the Fed hikes interest rates, more stable investments may end up being more worthwhile. However, investments that are funded with variable loans that increase corresponding to the interest rate could become less financially sound. Subsequently, a wave of corporate bankruptcies is occurring in the U.S. Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon asserted, "You're, to some extent, limiting nonproductive investments that would not necessarily generate revenue in this high interest rate environment." These ideas have stirred up debate among economists about the effectiveness of zero lower-bound policy.Mark Hamrick, Washington bureau chief at Bankrate.com remarked, "Barring a catastrophe, I don't think we'll see lower interest rates any time soon," implying that, even if inflation continues to decrease, rates may remain high. To learn further insights regarding this new economic era unfolding in the U.S., watch the video.

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