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Lanon Wee

Political Scientist Ian Bremmer Remarks on the Transformative Impact of AI on the Geopolitical Order

Ian Bremmer, a political scientist and the head of Eurasia Group, expressed his enthusiasm towards the potential of artificial intelligence, but also cautioned about the possible risks.Since the AI boom began in late 2022, countries worldwide have been competing to comprehend and control the technology, which has presented massive difficulties to legislators. Ian Bremmer, political scientist and president of the Eurasia Group, remarked that Artificial Intelligence (AI) will have a considerable impact on both geopolitics and globalization. According to Bremmer, there are both positive and negative implications. For instance, the technology may lead to the development of a new global middle class, and enhance processes in the medical, educational, industrial and scientific spheres. However, it could also be utilized to write code, hack systems, create malware, and develop vaccines or viruses. This will necessitate governance that takes into account the actions of technology companies, something which he argues humanity is not yet prepared for. Global leaders and policymakers may not have been prepared for the emergence of AI, Bremmer told CNBC, but they have since caught up. A year ago, it was rare to encounter a conversation between a global leader and himself where they were interested in investing in AI, its implications for politics, the economy and defense. Now, he has difficulty finding a leader who is not concerned with the topic. This includes countries like China, the US and the UK, in addition to international organizations like the European Union and the G7. As they endeavour to understand AI and its effects, they are looking into what they understand and do not understand about it, as well as the part technology companies have in it. Since AI began to spike at the end of 2020, countries have been competing to comprehend and control it, which has posed a considerable challenge for legislators as the technology is quickly growing in the public domain, presenting varying issues such as job security and national safety. This June, the EU legislature sanctioned regulations that necessitate a review of new AI apps, such as chatbots, prior to their dissemination across the public, and prohibit parts of the technology like real-time facial recognition. Similarly, China announced rules for generative AI services, like OpenAI's much talked-about ChatGPT, in July, stating that a permit may be needed before such AI tools can be made available to the public. According to Bremmer, in order to properly regulate AI, a deeper level of understanding needs to be achieved. He suggests, “We need a United Nations-driven process, an intergovernmental panel on artificial intelligence, with the governments, the scientists, the companies together to understand the basic state of play of what AI can do, who the principal actors are, what the opportunities are, what the dangers are.” He stressed the need to cooperate, instead of competing, in order to efficiently utilize AI as its open-source nature means any party can develop and use it. Therefore, Bremmer emphasized the importance of having global oversight, proposing a "geo-technology stability board" as a possible solution. Moreover, some countries have already expressed willingness to collaborate with other parties to establish laws on AI.

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